Fair sheet (model)
Poisson / Dixon-Coles fitted to pinnacle's match result and total. League calibration: not yet (verify-only). This match: no Pinnacle BTTS or team-total line to check against. Compare with the book on your phone; nothing here is scanned.
| Match result & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Atlante FC & yes | +702 | 12.5% |
| Draw & yes | +406 | 19.7% |
| Pachuca & yes | +369 | 21.3% |
| Both teams to score & total goals | fair | prob |
|---|
| Yes & over 2.5 | +151 | 39.9% |
| Yes & under 2.5 | +632 | 13.7% |
| No & under 2.5 | +167 | 37.5% |
| Yes & over 3.5 | +316 | 24.0% |
| Yes & under 3.5 | +239 | 29.5% |
| No & under 3.5 | +130 | 43.5% |
| Either team to win & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Yes | +196 | 33.8% |
| Double chance & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Atlante FC or draw & yes | +210 | 32.2% |
| Draw or Pachuca & yes | +143 | 41.1% |
| Atlante FC or Pachuca & yes | +196 | 33.8% |
| Team to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Atlante FC to score | -195 | 66.1% |
| Pachuca to score | -369 | 78.7% |
| First team to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Atlante FC * | +166 | 37.5% |
| Pachuca * | -116 | 53.7% |
| No goal | +1036 | 8.8% |
| Exact goals | fair | prob |
|---|
| 0 | +1036 | 8.8% |
| 1 | +531 | 15.9% |
| 2 | +277 | 26.5% |
| 3 | +358 | 21.8% |
| 4 | +597 | 14.3% |
| 5 | +1227 | 7.5% |
| 6 or more | +1860 | 5.1% |
| Half time / full time | fair | prob |
|---|
| Atlante FC / Atlante FC * | +596 | 14.4% |
| Atlante FC / Draw * | +2212 | 4.3% |
| Atlante FC / Pachuca * | +4193 | 2.3% |
| Draw / Atlante FC * | +903 | 10.0% |
| Draw / Draw * | +457 | 17.9% |
| Draw / Pachuca * | +498 | 16.7% |
| Pachuca / Atlante FC * | +6468 | 1.5% |
| Pachuca / Draw * | +2220 | 4.3% |
| Pachuca / Pachuca * | +251 | 28.5% |
* first team to score splits the first goal by scoring rate (an approximation); half time / full time assumes independent halves.
Line movement
Atlante FC to win · since 10:01 AM
Over 2.75 · since 12:43 AM
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