Fair sheet (model)
Poisson / Dixon-Coles fitted to pinnacle's match result and total. League calibration: not yet (verify-only). This match: no Pinnacle BTTS or team-total line to check against. Compare with the book on your phone; nothing here is scanned.
| Match result & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Austin FC & yes | +471 | 17.5% |
| Draw & yes | +386 | 20.6% |
| Colorado Rapids & yes | +515 | 16.3% |
| Both teams to score & total goals | fair | prob |
|---|
| Yes & over 2.5 | +149 | 40.1% |
| Yes & under 2.5 | +604 | 14.2% |
| No & under 2.5 | +164 | 37.9% |
| Yes & over 3.5 | +319 | 23.8% |
| Yes & under 3.5 | +228 | 30.5% |
| No & under 3.5 | +131 | 43.3% |
| Either team to win & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Yes | +196 | 33.8% |
| Double chance & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Austin FC or draw & yes | +163 | 38.1% |
| Draw or Colorado Rapids & yes | +172 | 36.8% |
| Austin FC or Colorado Rapids & yes | +196 | 33.8% |
| Team to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Austin FC to score | -277 | 73.5% |
| Colorado Rapids to score | -254 | 71.7% |
| First team to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Austin FC * | +115 | 46.6% |
| Colorado Rapids * | +126 | 44.3% |
| No goal | +995 | 9.1% |
| Exact goals | fair | prob |
|---|
| 0 | +995 | 9.1% |
| 1 | +519 | 16.2% |
| 2 | +273 | 26.8% |
| 3 | +360 | 21.7% |
| 4 | +611 | 14.1% |
| 5 | +1272 | 7.3% |
| 6 or more | +1969 | 4.8% |
| Half time / full time | fair | prob |
|---|
| Austin FC / Austin FC * | +359 | 21.8% |
| Austin FC / Draw * | +2118 | 4.5% |
| Austin FC / Colorado Rapids * | +5158 | 1.9% |
| Draw / Austin FC * | +621 | 13.9% |
| Draw / Draw * | +436 | 18.7% |
| Draw / Colorado Rapids * | +675 | 12.9% |
| Colorado Rapids / Austin FC * | +4855 | 2.0% |
| Colorado Rapids / Draw * | +2117 | 4.5% |
| Colorado Rapids / Colorado Rapids * | +405 | 19.8% |
* first team to score splits the first goal by scoring rate (an approximation); half time / full time assumes independent halves.
Line movement
Austin FC to win · since 10:01 AM
Over 2.5 · since 10:01 AM