Fair sheet (model)
Poisson / Dixon-Coles fitted to pinnacle's match result and total. League calibration: not yet (verify-only). This match: no Pinnacle BTTS or team-total line to check against. Compare with the book on your phone; nothing here is scanned.
| Match result & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| San Diego FC & yes | +204 | 32.9% |
| Draw & yes | +427 | 19.0% |
| San Jose Earthquakes & yes | +511 | 16.4% |
| Both teams to score & total goals | fair | prob |
|---|
| Yes & over 2.5 | -142 | 58.6% |
| Yes & under 2.5 | +933 | 9.7% |
| No & under 2.5 | +377 | 21.0% |
| Yes & over 3.5 | +131 | 43.3% |
| Yes & under 3.5 | +300 | 25.0% |
| No & under 3.5 | +271 | 26.9% |
| Either team to win & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| Yes | +103 | 49.3% |
| Double chance & both teams to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| San Diego FC or draw & yes | -108 | 51.9% |
| Draw or San Jose Earthquakes & yes | +183 | 35.3% |
| San Diego FC or San Jose Earthquakes & yes | +103 | 49.3% |
| Team to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| San Diego FC to score | -762 | 88.4% |
| San Jose Earthquakes to score | -316 | 76.0% |
| First team to score | fair | prob |
|---|
| San Diego FC * | -137 | 57.8% |
| San Jose Earthquakes * | +161 | 38.3% |
| No goal | +2464 | 3.9% |
| Exact goals | fair | prob |
|---|
| 0 | +2464 | 3.9% |
| 1 | +1190 | 7.8% |
| 2 | +427 | 19.0% |
| 3 | +369 | 21.3% |
| 4 | +424 | 19.1% |
| 5 | +632 | 13.7% |
| 6 or more | +553 | 15.3% |
| Half time / full time | fair | prob |
|---|
| San Diego FC / San Diego FC * | +194 | 34.0% |
| San Diego FC / Draw * | +2158 | 4.4% |
| San Diego FC / San Jose Earthquakes * | +4795 | 2.0% |
| Draw / San Diego FC * | +508 | 16.4% |
| Draw / Draw * | +689 | 12.7% |
| Draw / San Jose Earthquakes * | +1068 | 8.6% |
| San Jose Earthquakes / San Diego FC * | +2800 | 3.4% |
| San Jose Earthquakes / Draw * | +2153 | 4.4% |
| San Jose Earthquakes / San Jose Earthquakes * | +615 | 14.0% |
* first team to score splits the first goal by scoring rate (an approximation); half time / full time assumes independent halves.
Line movement
San Diego FC to win · since 10:01 AM
Over 3.5 · since 10:01 AM